Bleacher Report’s Bryan Swartz shares five bold predictions for Philadelphia Eagle’s next matchup.
The Philadelphia Eagles have the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. They have a defense that has a knack for making game-saving plays in the final minutes. They have perhaps the most explosive special teams unit in the history of the NFL. And if the season ended now, they would be the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
Yet despite the Eagles’ 4-1 record and knack for pulling out close wins, there’s a general sense of pessimism in Philly right now. I would know. I’m in that group.
It’s the way Nick Foles has played in four of the five games this year. It’s the league’s rushing champion in 2013 averaging fewer than three yards per carry. It’s a depleted offensive line and a defense that ranks 27th in points allowed. It’s a team that could just as easily be 0-5 as 4-1.
Right now, though, it’s about victories. You want your team to play their best at the end of the season. At the beginning, you just want close wins, any way you can. That’s a trend the Eagles will hope to continue against the New York Giants this week on Sunday Night Football. On the following slides, I give five predictions for the much-anticipated battle between two playoff contenders.
1. Nick Foles Completes 73 Percent of Passes
Remember the Nick Foles who threw 27 touchdowns against just two interceptions in 2013? Yeah, that was a long time ago.
The Nick Foles of 2014 looks more like the Nick Foles of 2012, a rookie who threw six touchdowns and five interceptions despite injuries to LeSean McCoy, DeSean Jackson, Jason Peters, Jason Kelce and Todd Herremans.
In 2014, Foles has thrown for eight scores against five picks with a very average 82.5 passer rating. He’s played just one great game in five contests. He’s also due for a second great game.
Although the Giants have some talented cornerbacks, I think Foles looks like 2013 Foles on Sunday night. I’m predicting Foles to complete 24 of 33 passes for 234 yards and two touchdowns. More importantly, he won’t commit a turnover.
2. Darren Sproles Continues to Outproduce LeSean McCoy
The LeSean McCoy problem may have reached its peak in the final minutes of the Eagles’ game against the St. Louis Rams when the All-Pro tailback found himself on the sideline, benched. It was 31-year-old veteran Darren Sproles who helped run down the clock, and it was Sproles who broke a 25-yard run, the team’s longest offensive play of the game.
I don’t see a light at the end of the tunnel when it comes to McCoy. Actually, I do, but it involves the return of Evan Mathis and Jason Kelce. Without a dominant offensive line, McCoy isn’t even close to the same back. Look at his 2012 season, when he averaged just 4.2 yards per carry and scored just two touchdowns without Jason Peters and Kelce on the offensive line.
Sproles, on the other hand, is finding holes when McCoy can’t. Expect Chip Kelly to finally realize which back is the more productive of the two right now. I see Sproles carrying 11 times for 58 yards and a score, while McCoy carries 16 times for 61 yards and no touchdowns.
3. Each Team Collects Four Sacks
The Eagles’ much-criticized pass rush from early in the season has really picked it up over the past two games. After collecting zero sacks in Weeks 2 and 3, the Eagles registered four sacks against San Francisco in Week 4 and four more against St. Louis in Week 5.
It’s not one player collecting all of the sacks for Philly, either. Connor Barwin has three over the past two weeks. Vinny Curry has two. Trent Cole has 1.5, Brandon Graham has one, and even Casey Matthews has half a sack.
The Eagles’ pass rush is hot right now, and I think that continues, even against an underrated Giants offensive line.
However, the Eagles’ offensive line has overachieved in pass protection over the last two weeks, surrendering just a single sack. They’re due to regress.
I’m expecting both quarterbacks to spend a lot of time on the ground on Sunday night.
4. Brandon Boykin Records Longest Interception Return of Career
By this point, it’s become apparent that Brandon Boykin just isn’t going to get an opportunity to play on the outside, even though he’s clearly the best cover corner on the team.
That doesn’t take away his ability to make plays, however. Boykin hasn’t intercepted a pass yet this season after recording six last year (in barely half of the snaps).
Boykin took to Twitter earlier today to ask fans the longest interception return of his career. The answer, by the way, was 76 yards against the Green Bay Packers.
I’m predicting Boykin to break that record with a 102-yard pick-six against Eli Manning in the third quarter. Let’s see if that’s enough to earn him more playing time.
5. Giants Win in Shootout to Take NFC East Lead
I will not be picking the Eagles to win on Sunday night. They’re a good team, maybe a very good team, but they’re only going to be able to survive so many close contests.
The Giants are a really good football team right now. Their offense is clicking, and they’ve scored at least 35 points in three straight games. Eli Manning looks like the quarterback who won two Super Bowls during a five-year span, and the defense ranks first in the league in interceptions.
The Eagles have some holes to fix right now. They also need some key players to return from injuries, notably Evan Mathis and Jason Kelce, plus inside linebacker Mychal Kendricks.
I think the Eagles will win the NFC East this season. But it won’t be easy, especially after losing to the Giants on Sunday Night Football.
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